Oregon
Oregon's registration table has a column for Non-Affiliated and a separate column for a party called Independent. The first holds 1,142,360 people and the second 153,045, and treating them as the same thing is the single easiest mistake to make in this state.
Which party leads in Oregon?
State deltas
Every state has hair. Here is Oregon's.
The rules that make this state different from the last one, what each breaks if you assume the national default, and how the engine resolves it.
The registration table carries both columns side by side: Non-Affiliated at 1,142,360 and Independent at 153,045. The first means no party; the second is the Independent Party of Oregon, a registered party with members, ballot access and its own nominations. They differ by a factor of seven and mean opposite things. Every schema that maps party strings to a canonical vocabulary, every minor-party rollup, and every assumption that independent implies unaffiliated will collapse them.
Party is read from the source's own column set with no normalisation of names, and affiliation status is a separate field from party identity so an absence is never stored as a party.
Non-Affiliated is 37.1% of the state, ahead of Democrats at 31.9% and Republicans at 23.9%. Oregon registers voters automatically through driver licensing and records them with no party unless they choose one, so the plurality is produced by a default rather than a preference. A model that treats party registration as expressed intent, or that estimates support from registration shares, is reading a system artefact as a political fact for more than a third of the electorate.
Registration status carries how it was created, so automatic and self-declared affiliations are distinguishable and neither is read as intent.
Beyond the majors the table carries Constitution, Independent, Libertarian, No Labels, Green, Progressive, People, Families and Other as separate columns — nine of them, with People holding 446 registrations statewide and Families 8,362. Collapsing these into a single other bucket destroys the distinction between a party with 446 members and the residual category, and Other is itself already one of the columns, so the rollup would be nested inside a column of the same name.
The party vocabulary is taken from the source's headers, with Other kept as a named column rather than used as a destination for unmapped values.
The registration report is published by county and again by congressional district, and the district tables list counties as their components — the 1st is Clatsop, Columbia, part of Multnomah, and Tillamook. Multnomah shows 124,234 registrations inside the 1st against 583,460 countywide, so most of it lies in other districts. Any join that treats a county as belonging to one congressional district, or that sums district registration by matching county names, double-counts the split counties and misplaces the rest.
County-to-district is a many-to-many relation with a registration weight per intersection, taken from the state's own district tables rather than inferred from county centroids.
The non-affiliated share runs from Malheur at 49.1% and Umatilla at 46.3% down to Wheeler at 27.0% and Wallowa at 29.6% — a 22-point spread, and the extremes are rural counties at both ends rather than an urban-rural gradient. Applying the statewide 37.1% per county to size a partisan universe is wrong by up to twelve points, and the direction of the error is not predictable from population.
Affiliation shares are stored per county and never applied as a statewide constant, with the distribution retained rather than a mean.
The Census counts 1,528 local governments in Oregon: 1,029 special districts, 223 school districts and only 240 municipalities. Districts outnumber cities more than four to one, and special and school districts together are 82% of all local government. Modelling the local layer as cities captures under a sixth of the state's governments, and the district layer carries its own elections that no municipal harvest reaches.
Special and school districts are first-class tiers joined to counties by overlap, and the local layer is never assumed to be municipal.
The Secretary of State publishes a registration report every month, and each one carries this month, last month, the same month a year earlier, and both percentage changes on the same page. So registration is a time series rather than a snapshot, and a figure quoted without its month is not interpretable — the August 2026 total of 3,076,893 is up 0.22% on July and 0.77% on August 2025. A pipeline that stores one number and refreshes it in place destroys the only view that shows movement.
Registration is stored as a dated series rather than a current value, so month-over-month and year-over-year movement survive a refresh.
Oregon administers 36 counties and the Census counts 36 county governments. Across this corpus the two disagree only where consolidated city-counties exist — Colorado, Montana, Nevada and California — and agree everywhere else. Oregon is a clean case, so a reconciliation against Census unit counts is safe here, but the same reconciliation is short by one to two in four neighbours and the difference is knowable in advance rather than discovered.
County identity comes from the state's own administration list, with the Census classification stored alongside and the consolidated city-county count recorded as the expected difference.
Federal to special district
What Oregon actually elects.
A federal delegation of seven, a legislature that turns over three quarters of itself, and a thousand special districts underneath.
Congressional map
Where those seats are.
The 6 congressional districts in force for the 2026 cycle — not necessarily the map this delegation was elected under. Oregon has not redrawn since the 119th Congress was seated.
| District | Population | Median income |
|---|---|---|
| OR-01 | 710,371 | $94,740 |
| OR-02 | 704,844 | $65,168 |
| OR-03 | 681,430 | $84,057 |
| OR-04 | 710,184 | $67,778 |
| OR-05 | 709,945 | $92,055 |
| OR-06 | 716,584 | $83,695 |
County ledger
Thirty-six counties, twelve party columns, and one column that is not a party.
Registration below is from the Secretary of State's August 2026 report — current, official, monthly, and published with month-over-month and year-over-year movement on the same page. The 36 county rows sum to the state total of 3,076,893 exactly. The second column is the non-affiliated share, which is the largest bloc statewide at 37.1% and ranges from 49.1% to 27.0% by county. Thirteen of 36 shown.
| County | Feed vehicle | Registered | Non-affiliated | Status | Last read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Multnomah · Portland | PDF / SOVC | 583,460 | 35.7% | Verified | 1 hr |
| Washington | PDF / SOVC | 401,188 | 40.1% | Verified | 1 hr |
| Clackamas | PDF / SOVC | 320,759 | 34.9% | Verified | 1 hr |
| Lane · Eugene | PDF / SOVC | 281,094 | 35.3% | Verified | 1 hr |
| Marion · Salem | PDF / SOVC | 230,881 | 40.3% | Verified | 1 hr |
| Deschutes | PDF / SOVC | 166,111 | 35.0% | Verified | 1 hr |
| Jackson | PDF / SOVC | 164,082 | 36.4% | Verified | 1 hr |
| Linn | PDF / SOVC | 100,164 | 37.2% | Verified | 1 hr |
| Malheur · highest non-affiliated | PDF / SOVC | 18,571 | 49.1% | Verified | 1 hr |
| Umatilla | PDF / SOVC | 51,444 | 46.3% | Verified | 1 hr |
| Grant | PDF / SOVC | 5,474 | 30.1% | Verified | 1 hr |
| Wallowa | PDF / SOVC | 6,316 | 29.6% | Verified | 1 hr |
| Wheeler · lowest non-affiliated | PDF / SOVC | 1,051 | 27.0% | Verified | 1 hr |